Tuesday, January 18, 2005

It's arbitration time.

The Astros have 3 of the 4 largest differences between a player's asking price (1st number) and the team's counter-offer (2nd number):

Roger Clemens: 22mil / 13.5
Roy Oswalt: 7.8 / 6
Lance Berkman: 11 / 10 mil

Well, that's some money. I'm kind of surprised we can offer the 29.5 million dollars we'd be spending if those big 3 accept those offers.

Brad Ausmus makes 2 million, Viz and Palmeiro both make around 1 million, Bagwell makes about 16 million, Pettitte goes up to 7.5 million, Lidge should get a raise to around 3 million, a mystery CFer will get around 3.5 million, and everyone else (that leaves Chavez, Lamb, Burke, Everett, Ensberg, Lane, Taveras, Backe, Munro, Redding, Hernandez, Duckworth, Qualls, Wheeler, Harville, Gallo, Burns, and Astacio) will probably average around 750K = (750)(18) = 13.5 million (I did that in my head....woooo.) So add all that up and it equals 77 million. Our payroll last year was 'only' 74.66 million. So what gives?

I know the Astros and the Rockets are getting a new TV deal that should increase revenue. And the team's succesful 2004 (one game away from WS, home sell-outs the entire last 1/4 of the season) should generate some buzz heading into '05.

I think I would rather spend the 29.5 million we could spend in arbitration on the big 3 by signing Berkman to a 5 year / 60 million dollar deal (a little less than what Vladi got) and Oswalt to a 4 year / 48 million dollar deal. That still leaves 5.5 million to play around with. Give Brian Jordan a 1 year / 1 million dollar deal, and give Esteban Loaiza a 1 year / 2 million dollar deal with up to 4.5 in incentives (200 IP, sub-4.00 ERA).

Of course, Clemens is a special case. It seemed like every home start he made was a sellout. He'll sell tickets. But my god, 22 million? I'd tell him to shove it up his ass, thanks for losing Game 7, and don't let the door hit you on the way out.

1 comment:

JT said...

I heard somewhere on ESPN today that Clemens asked for $22M because it would make the halfway point between the Astros offer and his offer at a value just above what any pitcher has made ever. I think Pedro made something around #17.4M this past year...so (22+13)/2 = $17.5M. That was the reasoning behind the $22M.

My opinion...Clemens is done. He doesn't need the money and if he wanted to come back another year, you know he wants to be on a winner. How exactly does he expect the Astros to come and bring in some more necessary players if he's making at least $17M?

To that I say, thanks for an amazing year. I was there in person when he moved into the #2 position in all-time K's and it was electrifying. He is truly an amazing player and I feel honored that I got to see him pitch a few times in person for my hometown team. I do believe he is done though.